Science
ScienceInheritance, variation and survival35 min★★★ difficulty

Chapter 5: Investigation — does the evidence support the claim?

Scientific explanations become trustworthy when data, uncertainty and alternative explanations are handled openly.

Part of your national curriculum
  • Working scientifically: Select, plan and carry out the most appropriate types of scientific enquiry to test predictions, including identifying independent, dependent and control variables
  • Working scientifically: Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions
  • Working scientifically: Present observations using appropriate methods, including tables and graphs, and communicate ideas using scientific terminology

Lesson overview

What you'll learn in this lesson

Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions

Key learning points

  • A model dataset
  • Test a mechanism
  • Analyse honestly
  • Reach a bounded conclusion

This lesson at a glance

  • 35 minutes
  • 17 parts to scroll through
  • 3 quick checks
  • Marked quiz at the end
  • Gentle pace: short sittings with pauses

Words to know

interpretobservationsidentifyingpatternsconclusions

Scroll down — the lesson carries on below

Part 1 of 17 · Discover6%
1

Watch & discover

Part 1 of 17

Short introduction

Watch first

Chapter 5: Investigation — does the evidence support the claim?

See how a controlled investigation becomes a graph and a bounded conclusion.

In a nutshell

Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions

2

Learning cycle

Part 2 of 17

Learning cycle 1 of 2

Part 1 · A model dataset

A short piece of teaching, then a check to make sure it has landed.

3

Explore the idea

Part 3 of 17

Learn

A model dataset

Suppose a beetle population contains light and dark forms. After trees become soot-darkened, surveys find dark beetles rising from 18% to 67% over ten generations. The pattern is an association that needs explanation.

4

Reset break

Part 4 of 17

Pause

That's sitting 1 of 4 done

Stretch, get a drink, look out of the window. There is no timer and nothing is counting down — your place is saved, so you can come back in five minutes or tomorrow.

Stop here for now
5

Explore the idea

Part 5 of 17

Learn

Test a mechanism

A fair investigation could place equal numbers of model beetles on light and dark backgrounds, vary only colour contrast, and record detection by observers. Repeat trials and randomise positions.

6

Quick check

Part 6 of 17

Quick check

Dark beetles rise from 18% to 67%. What can be concluded directly?

7

Quick check

Part 7 of 17

Quick check

What makes the model-beetle test fair?

8

Reset break

Part 8 of 17

Pause

That's sitting 2 of 4 done

Stretch, get a drink, look out of the window. There is no timer and nothing is counting down — your place is saved, so you can come back in five minutes or tomorrow.

Stop here for now
9

Learning cycle

Part 9 of 17

Learning cycle 2 of 2

Part 2 · Analyse honestly

A short piece of teaching, then a check to make sure it has landed.

10

Explore the idea

Part 10 of 17

Learn

Analyse honestly

Calculate proportions, plot generation against frequency and describe the trend. Consider sample size, anomalous results and uncertainty. Correlation alone does not prove that predation caused the population change.

11

Explore the idea

Part 11 of 17

Learn

Reach a bounded conclusion

A strong conclusion states the pattern, cites numerical evidence, explains a plausible mechanism and names a limitation or further test. It does not claim more than the evidence shows.

12

Reset break

Part 12 of 17

Pause

That's sitting 3 of 4 done

Stretch, get a drink, look out of the window. There is no timer and nothing is counting down — your place is saved, so you can come back in five minutes or tomorrow.

Stop here for now
13

Quick check

Part 13 of 17

Quick check

Which conclusion is strongest?

14

Challenge round

Part 14 of 17

Game · Sort it

Which of these are true?

Drag each card into the right column. Tap a card first if dragging is fiddly.

True

Not true

15

Challenge round

Part 15 of 17

Game · Recall cards

Dark beetles rise from 18% to 67%. What can be concluded directly?

Card 1 of 4

16

Mastery quiz

Part 16 of 17

Marked quiz

End of lesson quiz: Chapter 5: Investigation — does the evidence support the claim?

4 questions, marked with the reasoning shown. No timer.

  1. 1. Dark beetles rise from 18% to 67%. What can be concluded directly?

  2. 2. What makes the model-beetle test fair?

  3. 3. Which conclusion is strongest?

  4. 4. What is the independent variable?

17

Lesson round-up

Part 17 of 17

Lesson round-up

Ready when you are

Quiz score

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Games

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Points this lesson

0

Best run

0 in a row

Luna: 0 out of 3 on the practice checks. Only if you feel up to it — one more?

Ask Luna

Part 1 of 17 · Watch & discover

How this is going

  • Not looked at yet

    Select, plan and carry out the most appropriate types of scientific enquiry to test predictions, including identifying independent, dependent and control variables

  • Not looked at yet

    Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions

  • Not looked at yet

    Present observations using appropriate methods, including tables and graphs, and communicate ideas using scientific terminology

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