Patterns, anomalies and honest conclusions
Data does not speak for itself. This lesson is about calculating a fair mean, spotting anomalies, describing a pattern properly and writing a conclusion the data actually supports.
Part of your national curriculum
- Working scientifically: Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions
Lesson overview
What you'll learn in this lesson
Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions
Key learning points
- • Means and anomalies
- • Graphs that show the trend
- • Describing a pattern precisely
- • Conclusions and their limits
This lesson at a glance
- 30 minutes
- 18 parts to scroll through
- 4 quick checks
- Marked quiz at the end
- Gentle pace: short sittings with pauses
Words to know
Scroll down — the lesson carries on below
Watch & discover
Part 1 of 18
Watch first
Patterns, anomalies and honest conclusions
An English teaching video on this topic from Smart Learning Ltd. Watch it, then scroll down for the lesson.
Do it for real
The practicals below use what the film shows, with a full method you can follow at home.
In a nutshell
Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions
What you already know
Part 2 of 18
Before we start
What you already know
You should be able to plot a line graph with the independent variable on the x-axis.
Key words
Part 3 of 18
Key words
Words you'll need today
- Mean
- The average of repeats, calculated after excluding anomalies.
- Anomaly
- A result that does not fit the pattern.
- Correlation
- A relationship between two variables.
- Line of best fit
- A smooth line or curve showing the trend, not joining every dot.
- Conclusion
- What the data shows, answering the original question.
Learning cycle
Part 4 of 18
Learning cycle 1 of 2
Processing results
A short piece of teaching, then a check to make sure it has landed.
Explore the idea
Part 5 of 18
Learn
Means and anomalies
Three repeats give 24, 25 and 38 bubbles per minute. The 38 is an anomaly, so exclude it and average the other two: 24.5. Including it would drag the mean to 29 and distort the graph. Say in your write-up that you excluded it and suggest why - perhaps a bubble stuck to the stem and released late.
Explore the idea
Part 6 of 18
Learn
Graphs that show the trend
Independent variable on the x-axis, dependent on the y, sensible scales, axes labelled with units. Draw a line of best fit rather than dot-to-dot: the line represents the trend, and points scattered around it are normal. If the points curve, draw a smooth curve rather than forcing a straight line.
Quick check
Part 7 of 18
Quick check
Repeats of 24, 25 and 38 give a fair mean of...
Reset break
Part 8 of 18
Pause
That's sitting 1 of 2 done
Stretch, get a drink, look out of the window. There is no timer and nothing is counting down — your place is saved, so you can come back in five minutes or tomorrow.
Quick check
Part 9 of 18
Quick check
The independent variable is plotted on the...
Learning cycle
Part 10 of 18
Learning cycle 2 of 2
Describing and concluding
A short piece of teaching, then a check to make sure it has landed.
Explore the idea
Part 11 of 18
Learn
Describing a pattern precisely
'As distance from the lamp increases, the rate of bubbling decreases' is a description. Better: 'the rate decreases as distance increases, steeply at first and then levelling off beyond 40 cm.' Quote figures from your data. Naming the direction, the shape and any turning point is what full marks look like.
Explore the idea
Part 12 of 18
Learn
Conclusions and their limits
A conclusion answers the question using the pattern and the science: light intensity affects the rate of photosynthesis because more light energy is absorbed by chlorophyll. Then be honest about limits - it was one piece of pondweed, five distances, one temperature - and remember that a correlation does not by itself prove one thing caused the other.
Quick check
Part 13 of 18
Quick check
Which is the better pattern description?
Quick check
Part 14 of 18
Quick check
A conclusion should...
Common mix-ups
Part 15 of 18
Common mix-ups
Things people often get wrong
- Do not include an anomaly in a mean.
- A line of best fit is not dot-to-dot.
- The independent variable goes on the x-axis.
- Correlation does not prove cause; look for a mechanism.
Challenge round
Part 16 of 18
Game · Sort it
Which of these are true?
Drag each card into the right column. Tap a card first if dragging is fiddly.
True
Not true
Mastery quiz
Part 17 of 18
Marked quiz
End of lesson quiz: Patterns, anomalies and honest conclusions
6 questions, marked with the reasoning shown. No timer.
1. An anomaly is a result that...
2. A line of best fit should...
3. Axes must be labelled with...
4. Correlation between two variables means...
5. Stating the limits of your conclusion makes it...
6. Excluding an anomaly should be...
Lesson round-up
Part 18 of 18
Lesson round-up
Ready when you are
Quiz score
Not sat
Games
Not played
Points this lesson
0
Best run
0 in a row
Luna: 0 out of 4 on the practice checks. Only if you feel up to it — one more?
Ask LunaDo the work
Your written work for this lesson
This is the part you'd do in your book at school. Pick the pieces below, write here or on paper, and photograph anything you draw or work out.
Why the school greenhouse failed
A science club grew tomato plants in the school greenhouse. In June the plants grew well: leaves were dark green and the fruit set quickly. In July the club went away for two weeks and left the greenhouse door shut. When they came back, the leaves were curled and pale and most of the fruit had dropped.
The club had a data logger inside. It showed the temperature reached 46 °C on several afternoons and the soil moisture fell close to zero. The club knew photosynthesis needs light, water and carbon dioxide, and that enzymes in a plant work best in a narrow range of temperature. Above that range the enzymes stop working properly.
The club repeated the summer with the door propped open and a water bottle drip on each pot. Temperature peaked at 31 °C and the plants survived.
Written for Good Learning Co.
Reading questions
- Name the variable the club changed the second time, and one variable they kept the same.
- Explain, using the words photosynthesis and enzymes, why the plants were damaged in July.
- Write a conclusion for the club's report, saying how far the evidence supports it.
Method and results
WritingWrite the aim, what you changed, what you measured and what you kept the same, then record your results in a table.
1 page + results table
Conclusion
WritingExplain what your results show and why, using the scientific words from the lesson. Say how you know you can trust them.
6–8 sentences
Labelled diagram
DiagramDraw the apparatus or the process in pencil, label it fully, and photograph it.
1 labelled diagram
Reading and notes
ReadingRead the lesson text again and write the key ideas in your own words.
Half a page of notes
Saved as you type.
Part 1 of 18 · Watch & discover
How this is going
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Interpret observations and data, including identifying patterns and using observations to draw conclusions
